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Sandy River · Oregon

Marmot Dam Reach

Target: Coho Salmon

model v1.0.0 · Heuristic Baseline
freshly scored · 6/30/2026, 7:29:02 PM
86/100
Excellent
Confidence37% · Low confidence

Confidence is reduced because water temperature, recent angler reports were unavailable. The score reflects only the sources that reported in.

Angler briefing

generated · claude-haiku-4-5

**Verdict:** Marmot Dam Reach rates as Excellent for Coho right now, but proceed with moderate caution given incomplete information. Fish populations are strong—recent counts hit 400, a 40% jump above baseline—and weather conditions are favorable with stable pressure and manageable wind, which together account for most of the high score. However, the 37% confidence reflects significant blind spots: water temperature data is missing (critical for Coho activity), recent angler reports aren't available, and flow at 584 cfs is slightly below the optimal range, which slightly dampens the outlook. Before heading out, confirm current temperature and recent success reports if possible.

What drove the score

Factor breakdown

Fish counts

+38pts

Recent count 400 vs 286 baseline (+40%, rising).

view source ↗

River flow

+36pts

584cfs is below ideal (600–2200cfs).

view source ↗

Weather & pressure

+13pts

100% cloud, 12 km/h wind, stable pressure.

view source ↗

Excluded — source unavailable

  • Water temperatureweight 25% · dropped
  • Recent angler reportsweight 8% · dropped

Catch report

Did you catch fish here?

No account, no personal data — just the catch outcome.

Fish-count feed

last 6 readings
5/23/2026now · 400 counted

Same inputs · every model version

v1.0.0active
Heuristic Baseline
86
37% conf
v1.1.0candidate
Thermal-Weighted Candidate
84
36% conf
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Provenance

inputs hash
385c85f6
reproducible
✗ mismatch
usgs gauge
14137000