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Sandy River · Oregon

Marmot Dam Reach

Target: Coho Salmon

model v1.0.0 · Heuristic Baseline
freshly scored · 10/25/2026, 7:42:43 PM
36/100
Poor
Confidence37% · Low confidence

Confidence is reduced because fish counts, water temperature, recent angler reports were unavailable. The score reflects only the sources that reported in.

Angler briefing

generated · claude-haiku-4-5

**Verdict:** Marmot Dam Reach rates Poor (36/100) for Coho today, and you should expect limited success. The low score is driven primarily by flow conditions—at 198 cfs, the river is running well below the ideal 600–2200 cfs range, which significantly reduces fish activity and positioning (13 points deducted). Weather conditions provided some positive offset with heavy cloud cover and light wind stabilizing pressure (23 points), but couldn't overcome the flow deficit. Confidence in this assessment is limited to 37% due to unavailable fish counts, water temperature, and recent angler reports, so conditions could be better or worse than indicated.

What drove the score

Factor breakdown

Weather & pressure

+23pts

100% cloud, 8 km/h wind, stable pressure.

view source ↗

River flow

+13pts

198cfs is below ideal (600–2200cfs).

view source ↗

Excluded — source unavailable

  • Fish countsweight 30% · dropped
  • Water temperatureweight 25% · dropped
  • Recent angler reportsweight 8% · dropped

Catch report

Did you catch fish here?

No account, no personal data — just the catch outcome.

Fish-count feed

last 6 readings
5/23/2026now · 400 counted

Same inputs · every model version

v1.0.0active
Heuristic Baseline
36
37% conf
v1.1.0candidate
Thermal-Weighted Candidate
47
36% conf
about scoring models ↗

Provenance

inputs hash
4e7d65d9
reproducible
✗ mismatch
usgs gauge
14137000 ↗