← all spots

Rogue River · Oregon

Agness Confluence

Target: Fall Chinook

model v1.0.0 · Heuristic Baseline
freshly scored · 6/30/2026, 7:27:20 PM
65/100
Good
Confidence62% · Moderate confidence

Confidence is reduced because recent angler reports was unavailable. The score reflects only the sources that reported in.

Angler briefing

generated · claude-haiku-4-5

**Verdict:** Agness Confluence rates as Good (65/100) for Fall Chinook, but approach with moderate confidence given missing angler intel. **Key drivers:** River flow is performing excellently in the ideal band, and weather conditions are stable and fishable, but these gains are offset by falling fish counts (30% below baseline) and water that's running 2–3°C warmer than optimal for the species. The absence of recent angler reports leaves a gap in on-the-water conditions and bite activity that would normally increase confidence; plan for a slower bite than baseline suggests, and focus on deeper, cooler holding water if present.

What drove the score

Factor breakdown

River flow

+27pts

1740cfs is in the ideal band (600–2200cfs).

view source ↗

Water temperature

+18pts

18.7°C is above ideal (8–16°C).

view source ↗

Fish counts

+13pts

Recent count 280 vs 400 baseline (-30%, falling).

view source ↗

Weather & pressure

+8pts

0% cloud, 20 km/h wind, stable pressure.

view source ↗

Excluded — source unavailable

  • Recent angler reportsweight 8% · dropped

Catch report

Did you catch fish here?

No account, no personal data — just the catch outcome.

Fish-count feed

last 6 readings
5/23/2026now · 280 counted

Same inputs · every model version

v1.0.0active
Heuristic Baseline
65
62% conf
v1.1.0candidate
Thermal-Weighted Candidate
59
68% conf
about scoring models ↗

Provenance

inputs hash
756efaef
reproducible
✗ mismatch
usgs gauge
14372300