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Puyallup River · Washington

Puyallup Flats

Target: Chinook Salmon

model v1.0.0 · Heuristic Baseline
freshly scored · 6/30/2026, 7:29:21 PM
87/100
Excellent
Confidence37% · Low confidence

Confidence is reduced because water temperature, recent angler reports were unavailable. The score reflects only the sources that reported in.

Angler briefing

generated · claude-haiku-4-5

**Verdict:** Puyallup Flats is scoring Excellent (87/100) for Chinook right now, but proceed with moderate caution—the 37% confidence reflects significant gaps in the picture. **Drivers:** Fish counts are running 35% above baseline at 530 recent fish, and river flow at 1840 cfs sits solidly in the ideal band, together accounting for 73 of your 87 points. Weather is stable and cooperative. **Missing data caveat:** Water temperature and recent angler reports are unavailable, which explains why confidence sits at only 37% despite the high score—you're missing real-time feedback on whether conditions are actually producing bites right now, so treat this score as promising but incomplete.

What drove the score

Factor breakdown

River flow

+37pts

1840cfs is in the ideal band (600–2200cfs).

view source ↗

Fish counts

+36pts

Recent count 530 vs 392 baseline (+35%, rising).

view source ↗

Weather & pressure

+13pts

100% cloud, 12 km/h wind, stable pressure.

view source ↗

Excluded — source unavailable

  • Water temperatureweight 25% · dropped
  • Recent angler reportsweight 8% · dropped

Catch report

Did you catch fish here?

No account, no personal data — just the catch outcome.

Fish-count feed

last 6 readings
5/23/2026now · 530 counted

Same inputs · every model version

v1.0.0active
Heuristic Baseline
87
37% conf
v1.1.0candidate
Thermal-Weighted Candidate
83
36% conf
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Provenance

inputs hash
cc697fb1
reproducible
✗ mismatch
usgs gauge
12101500