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Nooksack River · Washington

Ferndale Drift

Target: Pink Salmon

model v1.0.0 · Heuristic Baseline
freshly scored · 10/25/2026, 7:44:19 PM
81/100
Excellent
Confidence62% · Moderate confidence

Confidence is reduced because fish counts, recent angler reports were unavailable. The score reflects only the sources that reported in.

Angler briefing

generated · claude-haiku-4-5

**Verdict:** Ferndale Drift rates as an excellent pink salmon prospect today, though moderate confidence reflects incomplete information. **Drivers:** Water temperature is ideal at 8.4°C (40 points), and weather conditions are stable with cloud cover and manageable wind (14 points), but river flow at 433cfs significantly underperforms the optimal range of 600–2200cfs (reducing flow's contribution to 27 points). The 62% confidence is constrained by unavailable fish count data and recent angler reports, which would normally help validate current conditions on the water.

What drove the score

Factor breakdown

Water temperature

+40pts

8.4°C is in the ideal band (8–16°C).

view source ↗

River flow

+27pts

433cfs is below ideal (600–2200cfs).

view source ↗

Weather & pressure

+14pts

100% cloud, 19 km/h wind, stable pressure.

view source ↗

Excluded — source unavailable

  • Fish countsweight 30% · dropped
  • Recent angler reportsweight 8% · dropped

Catch report

Did you catch fish here?

No account, no personal data — just the catch outcome.

Fish-count feed

last 6 readings
5/23/2026now · 1590 counted

Same inputs · every model version

v1.0.0active
Heuristic Baseline
81
62% conf
v1.1.0candidate
Thermal-Weighted Candidate
84
68% conf
about scoring models ↗

Provenance

inputs hash
d1787257
reproducible
✗ mismatch
usgs gauge
12213100 ↗