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Nooksack River · Washington

Ferndale Drift

Target: Pink Salmon

model v1.0.0 · Heuristic Baseline
freshly scored · 6/30/2026, 7:27:34 PM
94/100
Excellent
Confidence62% · Moderate confidence

Confidence is reduced because recent angler reports was unavailable. The score reflects only the sources that reported in.

Angler briefing

generated · claude-haiku-4-5

Ferndale Drift is an excellent choice right now with a 94/100 score—pink salmon populations are surging 66% above baseline at 1590 fish, and conditions are ideal with proper flow (1590 cfs) and water temperature (13.9°C) both in their sweet spots. The main drivers are strong fish availability and optimal habitat conditions, though confidence is moderate at 62% because recent angler reports aren't available to confirm what's actually working on the water. Plan your trip with good technique in mind, but stay flexible once you're there.

What drove the score

Factor breakdown

Fish counts

+30pts

Recent count 1590 vs 960 baseline (+66%, rising).

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River flow

+27pts

1590cfs is in the ideal band (600–2200cfs).

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Water temperature

+27pts

13.9°C is in the ideal band (8–16°C).

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Weather & pressure

+10pts

97% cloud, 10 km/h wind, stable pressure.

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Excluded — source unavailable

  • Recent angler reportsweight 8% · dropped

Catch report

Did you catch fish here?

No account, no personal data — just the catch outcome.

Fish-count feed

last 6 readings
5/23/2026now · 1590 counted

Same inputs · every model version

v1.0.0active
Heuristic Baseline
94
62% conf
v1.1.0candidate
Thermal-Weighted Candidate
93
68% conf
about scoring models ↗

Provenance

inputs hash
bc4ed24e
reproducible
✗ mismatch
usgs gauge
12213100